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Addressing Rural Income Volatility: Policy Imperatives for Agricultural Resilience

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Experts at the 5th Kautilya Economic Conclave have highlighted risks to rural income due to erratic rainfall and supply-side shocks, advocating for enhanced direct income support via PM-KISAN.

The 5th Kautilya Economic Conclave has brought to the fore a critical concern regarding the stability of rural incomes in the current fiscal year. Economists have identified a confluence of factors—primarily uneven rainfall patterns and persistent supply-side disruptions during the Kharif season—that threaten to dampen agricultural productivity and, consequently, the purchasing power of the rural populace. This volatility poses a significant challenge to the broader goal of inclusive growth, as the rural economy remains a cornerstone of India’s aggregate demand. To mitigate these risks, experts have proposed a strategic recalibration of existing social safety nets, specifically suggesting an increase in the financial support provided under the Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samman Nidhi (PM-KISAN) scheme. As a direct benefit transfer (DBT) mechanism, PM-KISAN serves as a vital liquidity buffer for small and marginal farmers, allowing them to manage input costs and consumption needs during periods of agricultural distress. However, the efficacy of such interventions depends on balancing fiscal prudence with the necessity of providing a robust floor for rural consumption.

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