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Balancing Energy Security and Food Inflation: Reassessing Ethanol Blending Targets in the Sugar Sector

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To address domestic sugar price volatility, the government has mandated a zero-diversion policy for sugarcane juice and B-heavy molasses toward ethanol production for the 2026-27 supply season.

The government’s directive to restrict the diversion of sugarcane juice and B-heavy molasses for ethanol production in the 2026-27 supply season marks a significant strategic pivot in India’s energy-food nexus. By setting the diversion threshold to zero, the administration aims to prioritize domestic sugar availability for human consumption, a measure necessitated by volatile agricultural yields and the subsequent risk of domestic sugar inflation. India has been aggressively pursuing the Ethanol Blended Petrol (EBP) program, aiming for 20% blending to reduce the import bill for crude oil and improve the liquidity of sugar mills. However, the production of ethanol via sugarcane—a water-intensive crop—often competes directly with food security goals. When climatic fluctuations reduce the overall sugarcane harvest, the diversion of sugar stocks for biofuel leads to an immediate supply squeeze in the domestic market, driving up retail prices. This policy shift reflects a ‘food-first’ approach in public policy, acknowledging the political and socio-economic sensitivity of essential commodity prices.

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