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SIPRI Yearbook 2026: India’s Nuclear Modernization Amidst Global Strategic Shifts

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The SIPRI Yearbook 2026 highlights a global trend of nuclear arsenal expansion, with India focusing on long-range delivery systems and MIRV technology. This strategic modernization reflects India's response to a complex multi-polar security environment and China's nuclear growth.

The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) has released its Yearbook 2026, revealing a concerning trend in global nuclear dynamics. For the fourth consecutive year, the total number of operational nuclear weapons has seen a marginal increase, marking a definitive end to the post-Cold War era of disarmament. The report underscores that all nine nuclear-armed states—the United States, Russia, the UK, France, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Israel—continue to modernize their nuclear arsenals, with several deploying new nuclear-armed or nuclear-capable weapon systems in 2025-26. India’s nuclear strategy, according to the 2026 report, is characterized by a steady expansion and technical refinement. While India maintains its long-standing "No First Use" (NFU) policy, its focus has shifted significantly toward long-range delivery systems. This includes the further induction of the Agni-V intercontinental ballistic missiles and the strengthening of the sea-based leg of its nuclear triad through the Arihant-class submarines. SIPRI notes that India’s modernization is increasingly geared toward long-range deterrence, reflecting a strategic response to China’s rapid nuclear expansion and the evolving security architecture in the Indo-Pacific.

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