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The Governance Gap: Socio-Economic Implications of India’s Continued Census Delay

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The prolonged delay in India's decennial Census is creating a 'data vacuum,' leading to significant exclusion errors in welfare schemes and hindering accurate urban planning. Experts warn that relying on 2011 data undermines fiscal federalism and evidence-based policymaking.

The decennial Census, a cornerstone of India’s administrative and statistical architecture since 1881, remains in a state of unprecedented suspension. Originally scheduled for 2021, the exercise was initially postponed due to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as of mid-2026, the continued absence of updated demographic data has transitioned from a logistical delay to a significant governance challenge, creating what experts term a "data vacuum." The implications for resource allocation are profound. The National Food Security Act (NFSA), which provides subsidized food grains to nearly two-thirds of the population, currently relies on 2011 Census figures. Estimates suggest that over 100 million people may be excluded from these benefits because the population growth of the last 15 years is not reflected in official quotas. This leads to significant "exclusion errors" in welfare targeting, where the most vulnerable are left without a safety net.

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